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Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Ford after the company reassessed its electric vehicle strategy. That "paints path to ~$230-$290 stock price as we argue AMZN could warrant an even higher multiple in this scenario," he added. — Michelle Fox 7:38 a.m.: Evercore hikes Disney price target, points out near-term catalysts Walt Disney has a bright near-term outlook, according to Evercore ISI. In addition to cutting his price target, Harned also pulled down his outlook for free cash flow and deliveries. — Alex Harring 5:48 a.m.: KeyBanc raises Nvidia price target There's no slowing down Nvidia , according to KeyBanc.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, KeyBanc, Brian Nowak, Jon Tower, — Michelle Fox, Walt Disney, Vijay Jayant's, Jayant, Bob Iger, — Lisa Kailai Han, David Palmer, Palmer, Uber, — Alex Harring, Bernstein, Douglas Harned, Harned, Dave Calhoun, Alex Harring, Anthony Chukumba, Chukumba, selloff, Ross Seymore, Seymore, TD Cowen, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, there's, John Blackledge, Blackledge, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, There's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, BJ, Mark Strouse, Strouse, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Ford, John Vinh, Vinh, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Monday's, Ford, Nvidia, Amazon, Citi Citi, Grill, ISI, Disney, India's Reliance Industries, Reliance Industries, Netflix, Hulu, Boeing, Dow Jones, Capital, Loop Capital, Deutsche Bank, Broadcom, VMWare, JPMorgan, Citi, BJ's Wholesale, GE, GE Vernova Locations: Michigan, Alaska, F1Q, California, The Massachusetts, Friday's, China

☆ Morgan Stanley says stocks are pricing in a 'no landing' scenario. How to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Morgan Stanley thinks stocks are positioning for economic growth to stay robust. A no landing scenario means the economy will continue chugging along despite higher Federal Reserve rates. Energy is the second best-performing S & P 500 sector during that time, up 16%. He also highlighted the outperformance in broader cyclical stocks, which are closely tied to the economy. To be sure, Wilson still has a 4,500 S & P 500 target for 2024 , the second lowest on CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey .

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Materials, Energy, PMI, CNBC Pro's, Survey Locations: Friday's

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Krispy Kreme, Cinemark, Western Digital and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Shockwave Medical — The medical device stock rose 1.6% after Johnson & Johnson announced it would buy the company for $12.5 billion. Krispy Kreme — Shares of the doughnut chain surged 5% in premarket trading after Piper Sandler upgraded the stock to overweight from neutral. Fox Corporation Class A — The stock rose 1% following an upgrade to buy from neutral at Seaport Research. Western Digital — The semiconductor stock rose nearly 3.5% after an upgrade to buy from neutral by Rosenblatt Securities. Agilent Technologies — The life sciences applications company rose more than 1% after receiving an upgrade to buy from hold at Stifel.

Persons: Johnson, Piper Sandler, Krispy Kreme, McDonald's, Omar Mejias, Wells, Steven Cahall, Ollie's, Gro —, Rosenblatt, Daniel Arias, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Hakyung Kim, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound Organizations: Johnson, USA, Scotts Miracle, Gro, Fox Corporation, Seaport Research, Rosenblatt Securities, Western, Technologies, Stifel Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, Netflix, Marvell, Ollie's, Snowflake, Eli Lilly, Krispy Kreme & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

"We are raising our YE'24 NFLX target price $65 to a street-high $765 driven primarily by a combo of higher '24 and beyond subscriber/ARPU forecasts." "We are upgrading Ollie's Bargain Outlet to a Buy from a Hold rating while raising our price target to $90 from $80, implying 26% upside from current levels." We cut our price target from $2 to $1, still giving ATUS the highest multiple in Cable as optionality. "We are raising our already Street High $330 YE'24 target price $60 to $390 driven primarily by higher premium and to a lesser extent ad supported ARPU forecasts." Jefferies adds Pepsi to the franchise picks list Jefferies said it sees opportunity internationally for Pepsi and raised its price target to $209 per share from $199.

Persons: Marvell, it's, Bernstein, Mizuho, Wells, Piper Sandler, Krispy, JPMorgan, Eli Lilly, LLY, Stifel, Rosenblatt, Snowflake, Jefferies, underperform KBW, Daiwa, Tesla, KBW, Monness Crespi Hardt Organizations: Netflix, Bank of America, Apple, Amazon Web Services, RBC, Eaton, Piper, JPMorgan, Technologies, Cable, Spotify, BMO, Royal Bank, Pepsi, Fox, Fox News, Digital, Citi, Express, American Express Locations: NY, McDonald's, USA, Toronto, Snowflake, U.S

☆ Now is probably a good time to hedge against downside risk in the stock market. Here are 4 ways you can protect your portfolio — including 2 that are historically cheap.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

But with the market at an all-time high, now is probably a good time to hedge against potential downside, experts say. That's especially the case because there's an elevated degree of risk facing stocks, and the cost of some insurance measures is historically cheap. Related storiesThe S&P 500 also looks overextended on a technical basis, according to many measures. AdvertisementRosenberg Research"The definition of a stretched market is one when the S&P 500 gaps 14% or more above the 200-day trendline. Beyond extreme, in fact — back to 1928, the S&P 500 has only drifted this far above the moving average 7% of the time," Rosenberg said.

Persons: Jim Smigiel, they've, Louis Fed, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Steve Sosnick, we're, Smigiel, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bank of America's, Survey, Bank of America, SEI, Fed, Louis Fed Inflation, MRB Partners, Rebels, Rosenberg Research, Interactive Brokers Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Suez

☆ A 32-year market vet warns the S&P 500 is set to fall 50%-70% in the years ahead with valuations at historic highs — and says that an imminently weakening labor market will be the catalyst for the cra
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, valuation levels explain 80% of the market's return over a 10-year period. Bank of AmericaThere are many ways to measure valuation levels in the overall market. Hussman says it's the most accurate indicator of future market returns that he's found. AdvertisementThe Conference BoardThird, the number of US states with a rising unemployment rate is spiking, meaning that the overall unemployment rate should see further upside. BullAndBearProfits.comThe US unemployment rate is already on a slight uptrend, having climbed from 3.4% in April 2023 to 3.9% as of February.

Persons: —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, John Hussman's, he's, Warren Buffett, Wolfenbarger, Stocks, Woflenbarger, Cam Harvey, Claudia Sahm, Louis Fed, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, David Rosenberg, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, JPMorgan, National Federation of Independent Business, Board, Treasury, Bank, America's

☆ Here are investor Jenny Harrington's top income plays — and they all yield around 6% or higher
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

When income investor Jenny Harrington looks for top dividend stocks, names like Whirlpool come to mind. The home appliance manufacturer not only has a 6% dividend yield, but it has also gotten very cheap, Harrington said. She buys names that have a "reasonably high dividend yield" for her portfolio, which typically generates a 5% dividend yield or better. "We specifically focus on dividend income rather than dividend growth, because the objective of our portfolio is to generate a strong and sustainable income stream for our clients," Harrington said. WHR 1Y mountain Whirlpool's one-year performance She would also like to see the potential for earnings growth in the names she buys.

Persons: Jenny Harrington, Harrington, Jay Brown, Anthony Melone, Ted Miller, William Brown, cyclically Organizations: Whirlpool, Asset Management, Dow Jones U.S, SEC, Investment Management, Crown Castle, Clearway Energy, Clearway, L3Harris Technologies

☆ Here are Thursday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Netflix, Tesla, Citi, Robinhood, Meta, IBM, Broadcom & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Evercore ISI reiterates Netflix as outperform Evercore raised its price target on Netflix to $640 per share from $600. Citi downgrades Chubb to neutral from buy Citi said it sees a more balanced risk/reward for the insurance company. Goldman Sachs upgrades Citi to buy from neutral Goldman said in its upgrade of Citi that shares are "compelling." Citi reiterates Nvidia as buy Citi said after a series of investor meetings that Nvidia is a "most favored name." Bernstein reiterates Nvidia and Broadcom as outperform Bernstein said Nvidia and Broadcom are still top picks at the firm.

Persons: Deere, Truist, Bernstein, Tesla, Citi downgrades Chubb, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wells, Berenberg, it's, Caterpillar, Morgan Stanley, Meta, Utz, Armour, Evercore, Kevin Plank, Stephanie Linnartz, Jack, Argus Organizations: Deere, UBS, Netflix, Citi, Logitech, Barclays, Thomson Reuters, Caterpillar, Nvidia, Micron, Facebook, Raytheon, Bank of America, of America, Utz, UAA, JPMorgan, IBM, Broadcom, VMware, Argus, Oracle, Oracle Corp Locations: Williams, Sonoma

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes warns current market conditions are worse than in 99.9% of history — typically meaning stocks are ripe for a 10%-30% sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewThe S&P 500 surpassed 5,000 for the first time on Friday, riding a wave of investor optimism about the health of the US economy. It's represented by the red line in the chart below, while the S&P 500 is shown in blue. Here's a chart from a regression analysis by Bank of America showing the impact that valuations have on long-term stock market returns. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 23% over the past year.

Persons: —, John Hussman, Hussman, It's, Tom Lee, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Adam Turnquist Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Hussman, Bank of America

☆ 'You are now living through Tech Bubble 2.0': A 32-year market vet warns stocks are doomed to suffer substantial losses with valuations at historic highs and the economy on the verge of recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-27 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

"For those of you younger than us who did not live through the Tech Bubble of the late 1990s, you are now living through Tech Bubble 2.0. As a reminder, the NASDAQ fell about 80% when that bubble burst in the mild recession of the early 2000s," Wolfenbarger said. AdvertisementThere is evidence that backs up Wolfenbarger's bubble claims, starting with fairly standard valuation measures like the Shiller cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings ratio. While it's not as high as it was during the dot-com bubble, it's higher than it was in 1929 — and is at one of its most elevated levels in history. Bank of AmericaAs for what will finally deflate the bubble, Wolfenbarger is expecting a recession to hit the US economy.

Persons: —, Microsoft —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, Wolfenbarger, it's, America's Michael Hartnett, Louis Fed Wolfenbarger, Jeremy Grantham, Adam Karr, Orbis Investment Management Karr, It's Organizations: Service, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Business, JPMorgan, ClearBridge, Tech, NASDAQ, ClearBridge Investments Bank, America's, Bank of America, Bank of America's Global, Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing, Orbis Investment Management, Global Fund, Federal Reserve Locations: Japan

☆ A famed economist who called the 2008 recession warns stocks look 'eerily similar' to how they did before their 25% drop in 2022 — and says the US economy is still heading for a downturn
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

He is the founder of Rosenberg Research and the former chief economist at Merrill Lynch — and he called the 2008 recession. Rosenberg ResearchRosenberg's model takes into account stock valuations, investor sentiment, market technicals, investor positioning, and macro fundamentals. Here's The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, which bundles together manufacturing data, bond and stock market performance, housing market activity, and consumer sentiment data. The economy doesn't jump from a tight labor market to layoffs," Rosenberg said in a note on Friday. Labor market and inflation data in the months ahead will tell the story for the US economy.

Persons: David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch —, Rosenberg, It's, —, Louis, GMO's Jeremy Grantham, Societe Generale's Albert Edwards Organizations: Rosenberg Research, Business, Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St, CNN, National Federation of Independent Businesses, Rosenberg, Societe Generale's, Federal, Labor, CPI

☆ How to make your money work for you over the next decade
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( James Faris | William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.

Persons: —, Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes warns stock valuations are near their most elevated levels ever — and lays out why a 63% decline in the S&P 500 would be consistent with 10
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-25 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Right now, it shows the S&P 500 at levels higher than during the dot-com bubble. According to Hussman's model, the S&P 500 will underperform Treasurys by about 7.5% over the next 12 years, the lowest projection since the 2000 and 1929 bubbles. Actual S&P 500 performance tends to follow Hussman's projections closely. Here's the Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500, which averages valuations over the prior 10 years. Much of those gains are thanks to the so-called "Magnificent 7" stocks, the S&P 500's biggest seven stocks by market cap.

Persons: John Hussman, Hussman, Here's, Adam Turnquist Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Treasury, Federal, LPL Financial Locations: it's

☆ Japan has become a gold mine for value investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Edward Chancellor | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

Having experienced a multi-decade decline after 1990, Japanese stocks have escaped the doldrums. Reuters GraphicsAnother shadow that has long lingered over corporate Japan is management teams which tended to neglect shareholders and prioritise the interests of other stakeholders. METI is also redefining the aim of Japanese companies, says Stephen Codrington, founder of the independent research firm Codrington Japan. Japan, whose regime was formerly unfriendly to equity investors, is moving in the opposite direction, says Drew Edwards, head of GMO Usonian Japan. Japan, as Codrington says, has become a gold mine for value investors.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, “ Stocks, It's, Alex Kinmont, James Montier, METI, Stephen Codrington, Codrington, Toby Rodes, Edward McQuarrie, McQuarrie, Drew Edwards, there’s, Warren Buffett, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Investors, Credit Suisse Global Investment, Nikkei, U.S ., Local, Credit Suisse, Ministry, Economy, Trade, Industry, Electronics, Hitachi, Fujitsu, Investment, Toyota, Investment Fund, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Kaname, Takisawa Machine Tool, managements, Toyota Industries, Santa Clara University, U.S, Thomson Locations: Japan, U.S, Europe, Codrington Japan, United States

☆ Big government will drive the next market cycle
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Francesco Guerrera | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Growth picked up while quiescent inflation permitted interest rates to fall. Bereft of government support, central banks tried to stimulate their economies by pushing interest rates to new lows. That means interest rates will struggle to return to the ultra-low levels seen after 2008. The first takeaway is that higher debt levels, inflation and interest rates should be bad for bonds. Vincent Deluard of StoneX has proposed a division between intangible and tangible companies.

Persons: Kevin Lamarque, ” Ronald Reagan’s, Milton Friedman –, Britain’s Margaret Thatcher –, Reaganomics ”, Réka Juhász, Nathan J, Lane, Dani Rodrik, government’s, Vincent Deluard, StoneX, Lockheed Martin, Peter Thal Larsen, Oliver Taslic, Thomas Shum Organizations: Republicans, Capitol, REUTERS, Reuters, Bank, Asset, Monetary Fund, Treasury, Capital Economics, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Capital, Facebook, Meta, Lockheed, Micron Technology, U.S, Congress, Nasdaq, Energy, Exxon Mobil, Labour Party, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, “, Ukraine, Covid, Europe, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan

☆ Hong Kong’s Financial-Sector Feast Turns to Famine
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Jacky Wong | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

China’s slowing economy could soon become a major talking point for U.S. companies as they begin to report third-quarter earnings. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains. Illustration: Elizabeth SmelovHong Kong’s lackluster stock market epitomizes the challenges that the city is grappling with—China’s economic slowdown, which looks increasingly structural, and Beijing’s tightened grip on the semiautonomous city. Neither issue looks likely to disappear soon, although China’s economy could improve a bit cyclically next year. Weak third-quarter results released Friday by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing —the market’s owner and operator—are the latest sign of how entrenched the city’s problems have become.

Persons: WSJ’s Dion Rabouin, Elizabeth Smelov Hong Organizations: Hong Kong Exchanges Locations: semiautonomous

☆ People are too bearish cyclically on China, says China Beige Book CEO Leland Miller
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPeople are too bearish cyclically on China, says China Beige Book CEO Leland MillerLeland Miller, China Beige Book CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the Chinese economy, why a new report is contradicting the notion the economy is on the verge of collapse in China, and more.

Persons: Leland Miller Leland Miller Locations: China

☆ JPMorgan says buy the dip on this chemical giant trading at a "reasonable valuation"
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Now is the time to buy the dip in chemical company Dow Inc. , says JPMorgan. "We think the recent downward movement in equity values has given investors an opportunity to purchase Dow shares at a reasonable valuation," analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas wrote in a Monday note. Shares of Dow, which serves as a holding company for Dow Chemical and its subsidiaries, have lost 7.9% this month and 0.3% in 2023. The analyst said Dow has underperformed chemical company LyondellBasell this year and over the past 12 months because of its dividend. Dow's dividend is flat, while Lyondell's dividend has increased by 19% since February 2021, according to the note.

Persons: Jeffrey Zekauskas, Zekauskas, Dow, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Inc, JPMorgan, Dow, Dow Chemical

☆ A 31-year market vet shares 2 signals that show a recession is still on the way — and warns the S&P 500 still has 48% downside as valuations remain near the richest levels in history
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-23 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

One is that the Institute for Supply Management's Purchasing Managers' Index continues to show signs of slowing economic growth. "Real GDI has never fallen three quarters in a row without the economy being in a recession," Wolfenbarger said. This partially informs his call for the S&P 500 to fall to around 2,250, which would represent 48% downside from current levels. When it comes to Wolfenbarger's 48% sell-off call, it's well outside the mainstream of where strategists see stocks going. With valuations high, a meaningful recession could make that three times, as Wolfenbarger is warning.

Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, Wolfenbarger, Costa, Louis, Warren Buffett Organizations: JPMorgan, Bull, Institute for Supply Management's, Crescat, Federal Reserve Bank of St, downturns . Federal Reserve Bank of St Locations: downturns .

Hedge funds and other money managers purchased the equivalent of 41 million barrels in the six most important petroleum futures and options contracts over the seven days ending on Sept. 12. The net position in all products had fallen to 155 million barrels (71st percentile) on Sept. 12 down from 177 million (80th percentile) on Aug. 15. Short positions in NYMEX WTI slumped to just 21 million barrels on Sept. 12, the lowest for more than a year since June 2022. U.S. NATURAL GASInvestors remain ambivalent about the outlook for U.S. gas prices – torn between depleting inventories and the prospect of a warmer-than-average winter driven by a strong El Niño. The prospect of reduced consumption and slower export growth is weighing on gas prices and has kept them range bound for the last three months.

Persons: Richard Carson, bullishness, NYMEX WTI, Investors, John Kemp, David Evans Organizations: Department of Energy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, REUTERS, ICE, U.S . diesel, Fund, distillates, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Freeport , Texas, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Europe, China, distillates, Saudi, Cushing, Oklahoma, NYMEX, distillates ., East Asia, North America, Pacific

☆ A legendary economist who called the 2008 recession says another downturn is knocking on the door — and warns stocks will end up falling 40% by the end of this market cycle
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Legendary economist Gary Shilling says the US economy is headed toward a recession — that is, if we're not already in one. "The Fed wants to make sure they've killed inflation," Shilling said. Shilling, who called the 2008 recession, pointed out that recessions sometimes don't start until the Fed has already begun to cut rates. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. LouisTrusted recession indicators are also signaling that a downturn is coming, Shilling said. The Conference BoardAs a result of the recession, Shilling expects stocks to fall significantly.

Persons: Gary Shilling, we're, It's, Shilling, Merrill Lynch, David Rosenberg, Louis, they're, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, Albert Edwards, Edwards Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Conference, Societe Generale Locations: there's

☆ 'Far deeper market losses will emerge': A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes warns the S&P 500's losses are only just beginning as stock valuations remain near their 1929 and 2
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-09 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

John Hussman says stocks are due for substantial losses amid high valuations. Here's Hussman's favorite measure of valuation: total market cap of non-financial-sector stocks-to-total revenues of those stocks. Hussman FundsAnother valuation measure Hussman likes is the Shiller cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio. Hussman Funds"Current market conditions create what we continue to view as a 'trap door' situation for the equity market. Another reason Hussman's outlook is so dire is that stock valuations remain high relative to where risk-free Treasury yields are.

Persons: John Hussman, Hussman, Here's, Warren Buffett Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Hussman, Fed, Treasury, America, Bank of America, Reserve

☆ A fund manager beating 99% of his peers over the last 10 years shares 2 'historically' cheap trades to make right now as high stock valuations set the market up for years of dismal returns
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

In a client note, Faber said he likes US value and international value stocks. A few exchange-traded funds that offer exposure to value stocks include the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV), the iShares Russell Mid-Cap Value ETF (IWS), and the Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF (DFUV). But an arguably better opportunity lies outside of the US stock market in international value stocks, he said. But the discrepancy, like in the US, between international value stocks and all other international stocks is also at "historically wide levels," Faber said. Cambria FundsInvestors can gain exposure to international value stocks through funds like the iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF (EFV), the Avantis International Large Cap Value ETF (AVIV), and the Dimensional International Value ETF (DFIV).

Persons: Meb Faber, Faber, Cambria Investment Management's Meb Faber, Russell, Faber's, they're Organizations: Nvidia, Cambria Investment, Morningstar, Vanguard Value, Value Locations: GuruFocus, Cambria

As a result, investing in equal-weighted ETFs that provide a more diversified approach and offer exposure to old economy-linked sectors such as energy and manufacturing are coming back in favor as investors look to broaden their exposure beyond Big Tech. Laura Cooper of BlackRock said the company's "highest conviction call" in the United States is the S&P 500 equal-weight. The $42-billion Invesco S&P 500 equal-weighted ETF , which mirrors the performance of the S&P 500 equal-weight index (.SPXEW), saw inflows of $8.80 billion from the beginning of June through Aug. 25, according to Refinitiv Lipper data. In comparison, the much larger $402-billion SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , which tracks moves in the market cap weighted S&P 500 (.SPX), bled $10.88 billion during the same period. Invesco S&P 500 equal-weighted ETF drew $4.85 billion inflows in June, the most since the fund was launched in 2003, followed by $3.53 billion in July, the second highest on record.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Laura Cooper, BlackRock, Cooper, Dan Boardman, Jake Dollarhide, BlackRock's Cooper, Sruthi Shankar, Medha Singh, Sweta Singh, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Federal, Big Tech, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Trust, BRI Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Facebook, Meta, Nasdaq, Longbow Asset Management Company, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Weston, Bengaluru

☆ These financial market signals are telling a different story about China's economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China's economy is stumbling, but financial markets don't indicate that it will lead to a systemic crisis. After a first-quarter bounce, China's economic rebound from zero-COVID policies has been disappointing, with factories and consumers slowing down. But Gave cited other indicators that present a different take on the Chinese economy. Gave also pointed out that iron ore prices, which are sensitive to China's economy, have jumped 50% from their October 2022 low. AdvertisementAdvertisement"That is not to deny that China's economy faces genuine challenges or that Chinese economic growth is slowing, cyclically and structurally," he concluded.

Persons: Louis, Vincent, Vincent Gave, Beijing's Organizations: Service, Financial Times, FTSE, US, Ferrari Locations: Hong Kong, Wall, Silicon, China, Beijing, FTSE China

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